Last week, Bitcoin dropped to a low of $79,775, breaking below the previous week's low. The weekly top is essentially confirmed, and the price has entered the $78,000–$80,500 target zone. This week, the key focus is whether a bottom can form here and trigger a Wave ⅱ rebound. HYPE fell to a low of $76.07, precisely entering the projected $75–$77 range. Downside momentum has already shown divergence, and $75.1 is this week's bull-bear watershed.

After BTC fell below $82,500, it rebounded on shrinking volume. Wave e most likely ended on September 21, with the correction target initially seen at $78,000; under the 52-week moving average standard, it is still an oversold rebound, and a bull market still awaits confirmation. HYPE broke below the lower rail of the channel, with attention on a pullback retest.

After oscillating in the $82,500–$87,500 range, BTC is highly likely to hit a new rebound high for wave e in the first half of this week, but two quantitative models are about to form a resonance of top signals. The $87,500–$90,000 zone may mark the endpoint of wave e. Do not chase the rally; for short-term trading, focus on light-position short attempts. HYPE pulled back to $84.92 and stabilized on the lower rail of its ascending channel. Existing long positions can be held in anticipation of further gains. Consider light long entries only after a valid breakout above the $92–$94 resistance zone.

This rebound that started in July may already be nearing its end.

This week, both BTC and HYPE are approaching key resistance levels, with technical indicators entering overbought territory. We will introduce the Chan Theory framework, focusing on tracking the termination nodes of the upward segments for BTC (6-7) and HYPE (16-17). In terms of operations, avoid chasing the rally.

Combining Chan Theory structure, moving average systems, and position monitoring models, this article conducts a systematic assessment of BTC and HYPE price movements, and provides corresponding short-to-medium-term trading strategies for different scenarios before and after the decision announcement, for trading reference.

This week, BTC's daily rebound has formed its first consolidation zone and flashed a top signal. A 2-3 week high-level range-bound consolidation is expected in the short term. For medium-term positions, staying on the sidelines is advised, while short-term traders may test long and short positions with light size around key support and resistance levels. HYPE, meanwhile, is in the departure leg of its second consolidation zone, and the key question is whether momentum divergence will emerge to determine if the uptrend can persist.

BTC sentiment has rapidly shifted to greed, but the 52-week moving average has yet to be decisively broken. This week's focus is on the completion of endpoint 5 and the construction phase of pivot B. HYPE has simultaneously entered its second pivot-building period, with the $73–$77 support zone serving as a key short-term level to watch.

Strong rallies are often accompanied by intense battles at key resistance levels and heightened volatility.

This week, the market is at a critical structural validation stage: whether BTC's daily adjustment can stabilize above $60,950, and whether HYPE can effectively hold the $58–$58.5 resistance zone to form a departure segment from the consolidation zone—these are the two core observation points that will determine the direction of the market.

This week, Bitcoin's daily-level C-wave rebound continues, with the price starting from a low of $62,268. Whether it can effectively break through the key resistance zone of $65,700–$67,300 is the core of this week's structural validation; HYPE, meanwhile, has found support at the convergence of its long-term uptrend line, the lower boundary of the descending channel, and the $50–$52 triple support zone, with daily-level rebound signals initially emerging. Whether it can hold its ground and challenge the upper boundary of the descending channel remains to be confirmed.

This week, Bitcoin’s daily-level wave B correction has been running for 12 days and has dipped to $62,268. Whether it can find support in the $60,900–$61,500 range will determine if the daily structure concludes. Meanwhile, HYPE has moved into the key support zone of $50–$52 at the tail end of the daily wave C, with oversold signals triggered consecutively, though direction has yet to be confirmed.

The BTC daily a-wave rebound likely topped at $66,955 on July 21, transitioning into a b-wave adjustment. This week, focus on a pullback to $65,700 and support at the $60,950-$61,500 range; HYPE is contesting the key resistance zone of $60-$63.5, with last week's short position already realizing a 1.70% profit.

BTC continues its rebound from the low of $57,820. This week, focus on the key resistance test between $65,700 and $67,300. If the price stalls and falls back, the medium-term bearish strategy remains. If it breaks through effectively, the short-term structure turns bullish. HYPE continues to adjust from its high of $72.97. This week, watch the battle for the $62 to $63.5 region. The medium-term remains bearish-dominated. For the short term, flexibly switch between Plan A/B based on model signals.

This week, BTC is in a "descending consolidation extension" phase on the daily timeframe, with the short-term outlook dominated by sideways consolidation. The key focus remains on the tug-of-war between the $64,700 resistance and the $60,950 to $62,000 support range. Medium-term short positions should be maintained at around 20%. Meanwhile, HYPE has confirmed resistance near $72.97. The key for this week is to observe the end of the "endpoint 62" adjustment and whether the rebound can reclaim the $72.97 level. If it fails, strategy should shift to building short positions on rallies.

The four-wave daily adjustment of BTC is nearing its end. This week, key attention should be on whether the rebound high of $57,820 can break through the resistance zone of $65,700 to $67,300. HYPE, after a seven-wave rebound nearing its historical high of $76.94, has shifted to a defensive stance. This week's strategy focuses on locking in profits on upticks and moving stop-losses up to protect gains.