Odaily: In a research report released on Thursday, DWF Labs pointed out that daily fund flows of U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs are poor predictors of Bitcoin's subsequent price movements, as investors tend to buy after prices rise and withdraw funds when prices fall. The study covered 694 trading days since the launch of U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs in January 2024: in the 8 instances where Bitcoin's price dropped by 15%, net ETF outflows occurred 7 times; while in all 9 instances where prices rose by 15%, net inflows occurred. DWF Labs concluded that ETF fund flows are more of a confirmation of market trends rather than a leading indicator.

Data shows that the correlation coefficient between same-day ETF fund flows and Bitcoin price changes over the previous 5 trading days was 0.54, but the correlation coefficient with price changes over the subsequent 5 trading days was only 0.03. Between October 2025 and February 2026, Bitcoin ETFs saw net outflows of approximately $6.9 billion, and during the market downturn from May to June 2026, net outflows reached approximately $8.2 billion. DWF Labs also noted that some ETF trading may involve hedging strategies that combine buying fund shares with shorting Bitcoin via CME futures, meaning fund flows do not directly reflect investors' true bullish or bearish positions. (Cointelegraph)

Odaily reports: Bitcoin's market dominance rose to 60% on Wednesday, reaching its highest level since May of this year and holding near that level, reflecting investors' preference for holding Bitcoin over altcoins. Meanwhile, Bitcoin fell below $82,000 on Thursday, giving back gains from the previous day's brief break above $84,000. Small-cap tokens saw more pronounced declines, with the CoinDesk Memecoin Index dropping over 5%, the Computing Select Index falling 3.5%, and the DeFi Select Index down 2.5%.

Joel Kruger, market strategist at LMAX Group, said that the crypto market's prior outperformance relative to other assets has shifted to trading more closely in line with equity markets, with investors awaiting new industry catalysts. Vikram Subburaj, CEO of Indian exchange Giottus, noted that Bitcoin ETF inflows have yet to form a sustained trend, and investors should avoid chasing rallies while monitoring ETF fund flows and Federal Reserve policy signals. (CoinDesk)

Odaily reports that, according to Lookonchain monitoring, a certain whale bought tokens worth approximately $7.22 million in the past 24 hours, including 378,129 LIT worth $1.4 million; 6.61 million ENA worth $1.34 million; 3 million ONDO worth $1.34 million; 1.154 million AERO worth $948,000; 241.8 ETH worth $591,000; 2,944 QNT worth $589,000; 61,252 UNI worth $443,000; 1,387 TAO worth $368,000; and 43.3 billion PEPE worth $195,000.

Odaily: Yi Lihua posted on the X platform that in a choppy market, both long and short trades will face wear and tear and problems, requiring overcoming greed and controlling trading frequency. In a bull market trend, one should not short on pullbacks; sticking to opportunities with higher certainty is enough to achieve annual targets. With the midterm elections approaching, Trump faces an unfavorable situation, and whether one or two seats are lost, greater volatility will follow.