Polymarket's "Anthropic's next-generation Claude Opus will be released before September 27" probability rose to 90%, up 13% in 24 hours

PPP prediction market tool monitoring shows that Polymarket's "Anthropic's next-generation Claude Opus will be released before September 27" probability rose to 90%, up 13% in 24 hours; the probability of release before September 30 rose to 94%, up 7% in 24 hours.

According to the resolution rules, if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model becomes available to the public before the specified date (Eastern Time, ET), the prediction market will resolve as "Yes"; otherwise, it will resolve as "No." Claude Opus refers to a model explicitly named "Opus" by Anthropic. Models released under other names, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, do not qualify.

In addition, qualifying models must have been officially launched and made accessible to the public, including open beta or public-facing rolling waitlist registration. Closed beta or any form of private access does not qualify for resolution.

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