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2026
SUN
09/13
07:03
Polymarket's probability of OpenAI IPO before March 31, 2027 drops to 33%, down 18% in a single week

PPP Prediction Market Tool monitoring shows that on Polymarket, the probability of OpenAI IPO before March 31, 2027 has dropped to 33%, down 18% in a single week; the probability of IPO before June 30, 2027 has risen to 55%, up 5% in a single week.

According to the settlement rules, if OpenAI completes its initial public offering before the specified date (US Eastern Time) and it is confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources, the market will settle as "Yes"; otherwise, it will settle as "No." Additionally, if OpenAI is acquired by another already publicly listed company, the market will immediately settle as "No."

OpenAI CEO Sam Altman previously stated that OpenAI will not conduct an IPO this year, and that its listing plans will be postponed until at least 2027. Altman said that considering the current state of AI safety, now is not the right time to go public, and the company currently faces no pressure to do so.

Join the PPP Signal Push Community to stay one step ahead and seize the initiative.

06:42
US Department of Justice Has Frozen Approximately $938 Million in Fraud-Related Crypto, With About $52 Million Added in a Single Day

Odaily News: In an operation targeting the Telegram crypto escrow trading platform Xinbi Guarantee, the U.S. Department of Justice's Scam Center Strike Force restricted the handling of approximately $52 million in fraud-related cryptocurrency in a single day, bringing the cumulative total to approximately $938 million. Previously, the cumulative amount frozen, seized, or recovered had already exceeded $580 million.

The U.S. Department of the Treasury stated that since its founding around 2022, Xinbi Guarantee has processed over $24 billion in transactions, involving digital assets and fiat currency, primarily serving Southeast Asian transactions. North Korean hackers and sanctioned entities are alleged to have used the platform, including entities under Jin Bei Group and Prince Group.

A U.S. federal court approved the seizure on September 7 of the Telegram channel operated by Xinbi Guarantee. Law enforcement authorities also seized two payment wallets totaling approximately $12 million and applied to freeze another 47 cryptocurrency wallets suspected of being used for money laundering or associated with fraud-related service providers.

The U.S. Treasury Department's Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) added Xinbi Guarantee and its two supporting companies, Safew Technology and Anwen Technology, to its sanctions list on September 9. The U.S. Department of Justice also dispatched investigators to Madagascar to assist local law enforcement in cracking down on 13 scam compounds operated by Chinese nationals and to process over 3,200 electronic devices. (Bitcoin.com News)

06:15
AMD Overtakes Qualcomm to Become the World's Third-Largest Fabless Semiconductor Company

Odaily reports that Citrini analyst jukan posted on X platform that AMD has overtaken Qualcomm to become the world's third-largest fabless semiconductor company.

06:05
Meme Express: SWARM Market Cap on Robinhood Briefly Surpasses $1.4 Million

According to Odaily Meme Express monitoring, the market cap of SWARM on Robinhood briefly surpassed $1.4 million and is now at $930,000.

SWARM positions itself as a home for AI agent collaboration and shared treasury management, funding its ecosystem through creator fees.

"Meme Express" is powered by Odaily's exclusive AI model to screen potential assets with high community buzz. The content is compiled based on public information and does not constitute investment advice. Please conduct your own due diligence and be aware of the high volatility risks of meme coins.

05:38
New all-time high: Hyperliquid's perpetual contract open interest market share reaches 10.5%

According to Odaily, in terms of open interest, Hyperliquid has captured a 10.5% share of the global perpetual contract market, which includes centralized exchanges such as Binance, Bybit, and OKX, marking the highest level since the platform's inception. HYPE is currently trading at $79.41, up 0.95% over the past 24 hours.

05:33
ETH has risen 60.62% quarter-to-date in Q3, the second-best Q3 performance in history

Odaily reports that ETH has gained 60.62% quarter-to-date in Q3 this year, marking its second-best Q3 performance on record, trailing only the 66.55% recorded in Q3 2025. (cointelegraph)

05:29
Odaily Morning Brief

1. AMC CEO once again publicly criticized Robinhood, questioning stock token shareholder rights and the 1:1 backing mechanism;

2. Analyst: South Korean exchanges will trial evening trading next week, which will test global demand;

3. XXAntiWar opened a new $4.5 million ZEC short position, currently sitting on an unrealized loss of approximately $23,000;

4. Long.xyz Founder: After the launch of the Pre-IPO feature, approximately 10,000 new asset issuances were added, and issuance limits will continue to be adjusted;

5. Tom Lee: The crypto market will be "very bullish" over the next 12 months, and the tokenization market opportunity could reach $20 trillion;

6. Jiang Zhuor: Accurately shorted the tops of ETH and BTC, plans to take small positions to bottom-fish small-cap coins in the future;

7. Bonk Guy responds to EMBER controversy: Started building a position from around $7 million market cap, bullish on its Launchpad data growth.

05:25
ESMA: Tokenized Stocks May Lead to Liquidity Fragmentation

Odaily: The European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) pointed out in its "Trends, Risks and Vulnerabilities Report for the First Half of 2026" that issuing different tokenized versions of the same stock may lead to liquidity fragmentation. The report states that tokenization has potential advantages such as improving efficiency, expanding investor access, enhancing programmability, and enabling atomic settlement; prediction markets have not yet developed significantly in Europe, major platforms have not yet obtained EU licenses, and in most cases licenses are required.

05:18
Vy Capital holds approximately $40 billion worth of SpaceX shares, becoming its fifth-largest shareholder

Odaily News: Venture capital firm Vy Capital, which has an investment team of only 4 people, currently holds approximately 3.4% of SpaceX shares, valued at about $40 billion, making it the fifth-largest shareholder of SpaceX, with a stake exceeding the disclosed holdings of Sequoia Capital and a16z.

Vy Capital first invested in SpaceX in 2016, when the latter was valued at approximately $15 billion. In addition, Vy Capital's assets under management have grown from $27 billion at the end of last year to $50 billion as of June this year. (Financial Times)

04:44
An account purchased $168,000 worth of LCK playoff finals HLE defeating GENG

According to monitoring by PPP prediction market tool, in the "LCK Playoffs Finals HLE vs GENG" prediction event, an account with $550,000 in profit (0x7c37b52eb226bcb9411375ec48b0169663fb6aeb) purchased $168,000 worth of HLE defeating GENG, with an average entry price of 37¢ and 453,995.3 shares bought.

Additionally, the account also holds $56,000 worth of HLE winning with a 1.5 handicap against GENG.

The match will begin on September 13 at 13:00, with a BO5 format. The winner becomes the first seed for Worlds, and the loser becomes the second seed.

Join the PPP signal push community to stay one step ahead and seize the opportunity.

04:40
Institutions Hold 17.9% of HYPE's Total Market Cap, Higher Than Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana

Odaily: Currently, institutions hold 17.9% of HYPE's total market cap, the highest proportion among Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana.

04:38
Meta Chief AI Officer: AI capabilities are accelerating, and the industry must proceed prudently

Odaily reports: Meta Platforms (META.O) Chief Artificial Intelligence Officer Alexandr Wang stated that "AI benefiting everyone" means people can trust powerful AI to reliably operate toward their own goals without producing unwanted side effects. Alignment is at the core of fulfilling this promise. We are at a critical moment for the industry, with capabilities growing rapidly, and we must make rapid progress on alignment to keep pace. The positive future we seek, one in which AI truly benefits everyone, requires the entire industry to take prudent and thoughtful action during this critical period. (Jinshi)

Previously, Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei published a long blog post stating that the company would adopt new safety measures, such as introducing third-party evaluation institutions, while also calling on the entire industry to support broader measures to slow the development of AI models. OpenAI CEO Altman quickly said he would adopt Amodei's proposal to "give independent evaluation institutions access similar to that of employees." Elon Musk, who runs xAI, also said: "Dario is right."

04:37
Ampleforth Treasury's ~$2.5 Million at Risk from Malicious Governance Proposal

Odaily report: According to Defimon monitoring, a suspicious proposal 54 has appeared in Ampleforth's governance system Governor Bravo, involving approximately $2.5 million in treasury funds. The incident has been classified as an access control risk and malicious governance proposal, and the related funds have not yet been transferred out. The Ampleforth timelock contract currently holds approximately 2.538 million USDC, meaning the proposal involves nearly all treasury assets. The proposer disclosed that they authored the proposal themselves and plans to vote through a delegated address holding 87,238 FORTH, approximately 0.57% of the supply, slightly above the 75,000 FORTH proposal threshold. The proposal quorum is 600,000 FORTH, valued at approximately $132,000 at FORTH's current price of $0.22.

04:26
Coinbase Bitcoin Premium Index has been negative for 7 consecutive days, latest reading at -0.0205%

Odaily News: The Coinbase Bitcoin Premium Index has been negative for 7 consecutive days, with the latest reading at -0.0205%. Previously, on August 24, the index turned positive for the first time since May 19, reaching 0.0052%, briefly ending a record-long 97-day streak of negative premium. This index measures the Bitcoin price spread between Coinbase Pro and Binance.

04:08
Jiang Zhuoer: Future Bottom-Fishing Trades Will Shift to Small-Cap Coins, Participating with 5%-10% Small Positions

Odaily reports: Lai Bit Mining Pool founder Jiang Zhuoer posted on X platform, stating that his trading is better suited for "catching tops and bottom-fishing." Previously, his short positions near ETH $2,525 and BTC $82,050 were relatively accurate, but since his base position is fully allocated in ETH spot, he could not continue to add leverage for long positions when the market dropped to lows.

Jiang Zhuoer stated that in future bottom-fishing trades, he will consider choosing small-cap coins and participating with small positions of 5%-10% each time. Taking BNC as an example, he said he bought the dip near $4.5 on September 10, with the entry point close to the low of that downward cycle, and the price subsequently continued to rise.

03:57
AMC CEO once again lashes out at Robinhood, questioning stock token shareholder rights and 1:1 backing mechanism

Odaily News: AMC CEO Adam Aron has once again lashed out at Robinhood's stock token business, raising multiple questions directed at Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev and Chief Legal Officer Dan Gallagher. Aron stated that stock tokens go against the fundamental concept of stock ownership, and questioned why Robinhood continues to heavily promote stock tokens on its U.S. website when it cannot offer such products to U.S. users.

Aron also questioned whether stock tokens could lead buyers to mistakenly believe they can obtain the same rights as actual shareholders, as well as the 1:1 stock backing mechanism: if some of the underlying real shares used to back stock tokens are simultaneously lent out to short sellers, can the related tokens still be considered truly 1:1 backed. Aron also criticized Robinhood for conducting the related business through a Jersey entity, and said that while stock tokens may represent innovation in Robinhood's view, in his view they "only bring shame to Robinhood."