Polymarket odds of “foldable iPhone US launch price above $2,100” rise to 70%, up 20% in a week

Monitoring by the PPP Prediction Market Tool shows that the probability of the "foldable iPhone US launch price above $2,100" on Polymarket has risen to 70%, up 20% over the week; the probability of above $2,200 has fallen to 30%, down 29% over the week.

According to the settlement rules, this market will be settled based on the pre-tax starting price of the lowest-configuration foldable iPhone for the US market as first announced by Apple; if multiple foldable iPhones are announced simultaneously, the lowest starting price among them shall prevail. If no price is announced by 23:59 ET on September 30, the market will settle as "No."

According to Apple's official announcement, the fall 2026 new product launch event will be held at 1:00 a.m. Beijing time on September 10. The pricing of the first foldable iPhone has become a focal point of market attention. Previously, Bank of America, citing media reports, said its starting price could be around $2,099. According to the latest revelation from US tech journalist Mark Gurman, Apple's first foldable phone is expected to have a starting price of around $2,000.

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