Odaily Planet Daily News: According to market sources, traders have pushed back their expectations for a Fed rate hike to October.

According to Odaily Planet Daily, CME's "FedWatch": The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged in July is 83.4%, with a 16.6% probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike. The probability of the Fed keeping rates unchanged in September is 40.3%, a 51.1% probability of a cumulative 25 basis point hike, and an 8.6% probability of a cumulative 50 basis point hike.

Odaily Planet Daily News: Affected by consumer price data falling short of expectations, traders have withdrawn their bets on a Fed rate hike, prompting a sharp rise in U.S. Treasury prices. The two-year Treasury yield, highly sensitive to the short-term monetary policy outlook, once fell by 14 basis points to 4.14%, marking its largest single-day drop since February. Meanwhile, the interest rate swap market indicates that the probability of a Fed rate hike in July has fallen from over 40% to around 20%.

Dan Carter, Senior Portfolio Manager at Fort Washington Investment Advisors, said: "This is a broadly below-expected data performance. The possibility of a near-term rate hike has vanished. The market had been worried that inflation data would be too high, so this data should be positive for the bond market and prompt a steepening of the yield curve. Our baseline expectation is that the Fed will keep rates unchanged, and this data confirms that view." (Jinshi)

Odaily星球日報訊 「聯準會傳聲筒」Nick Timiraos：6 月份 CPI 數據全線表現溫和。 核心商品價格連續第二個月下跌，降幅為 0.09%。 住房價格僅上漲 0.12%。 剔除住房後的核心服務價格下降了 0.2%，創下疫情以來的最低水平。

Odaily星球日報訊 Coinglass 數據顯示，過去 1 小時全網爆倉達到 6083 萬美元，其中多單爆倉 402 萬美元，空單爆倉 5680 萬美元，此外 BTC 爆倉金額達 2889 萬美元，ETH 爆倉金額達 2072 萬美元。

Odaily星球日报讯 美国6月份消费者价格六年来首次出现下滑，且一项衡量潜在通胀的关键指标基本持平，这在一定程度上缓解了美联储加息的压力。根据美国劳工统计局周二公布的数据，消费者价格指数（CPI）较5月份下降0.4%，较上年同期上涨3.5%。剔除食品和能源后的核心指数与5月份持平，较上年同期上涨2.6%。

该报告显示，随着伊朗战争引发的能源价格冲击最严重时期开始消退，6月份汽油价格的下跌为消费者带来了一定程度的缓解。在美联储本月底召开会议之前，美联储官员可能会对这一数据表示欢迎；不过，美伊敌对局势重燃导致油价再次上涨，这可能延长该冲突引发的通胀影响。随着投资者减少对美联储7月份加息的押注，美国股指期货上涨，国债收益率下跌。数据显示，核心通胀指标受到抑制，主要归因于服装和二手车等商品价格的下跌。机动车保险费也大幅下降。（金十）

Odaily reported that Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh stated that AI opportunities pose a challenge for policymakers, and he is monitoring AI's impact on inflation and the labor market. (Jin10)

Odaily星球日報訊 據 Gate 數據，CPI 數據公布後，美、布兩油短線變動不大，分別報 79.76 美元/桶、85.5 美元/桶。

Odaily星球日報訊 市場定價顯示，本月對聯準會加息的押注已被下調。美國兩年期國債殖利率當日下跌 10 個基點，報 4.18%。（金十）

Odaily星球日報訊 據 Gate 數據，CPI 數據公佈後，現貨白銀短線上漲 2 美元，報 59.15 美元/盎司。現貨黃金短線上漲 13 美元，報 4096.2 美元/盎司。

Odaily Planet Daily News: Federal Reserve Chairman Walsh stated that the Fed has zero tolerance for persistently high inflation. The labor market remains generally stable, nominal wage growth is solid, and the U.S. economy shows strong resilience with steady growth. (Jin Shi)

Odaily星球日報訊 美國6月未季調CPI年率3.5%，預期3.8%，前值4.20%。(金十）