“White-haired Stock God” Serenity: ESMT May Mirror SanDisk’s Trajectory, Storage Chip Price Hikes Still Have Room to Run
Odaily News "White-haired Stock God" Serenity posted on X, expressing optimism about storage chip maker Elite Semiconductor Memory Technology (ESMT, 3006) over the coming months, suggesting its trajectory could mirror the strong rally seen in SanDisk (SNDK).
Serenity noted that a single DDR2 memory chip currently costs around $0.96. If the ASP (average selling price) triples, the cost per chip would increase by roughly $2. While this cost increase remains relatively limited for end products, sustained price hikes in memory products could have a significant impact on ESMT's own profitability. Additionally, SLC NAND is expected to see ASP increases of 120% to 170% in the second half of the year, with NOR Flash and other products also facing pricing upside expectations.
Serenity stated that based on July performance, ESMT's current monthly net profit stands at approximately $111 million, with a market cap of around $2.8 billion, and believes there remains substantial room for valuation re-rating. Serenity noted that ESMT's current situation reminds them of early-stage SanDisk, but this opportunity is primarily concentrated in the legacy and specialty memory market.
