Polymarket probability of WTI crude oil breaking $95/barrel in July rises to 48%, up 20% in 24 hours

Monitoring by the PPP Prediction Market Tool shows that in Polymarket's "WTI Crude Oil Price Touch Level in July" prediction event, the probability of WTI crude oil breaking $95/barrel has reached 48%, up 20% in 24 hours; the probability of breaking $100/barrel has risen to 32%, up 14% in 24 hours.

According to market sources, the United States has deployed B-1 bombers to strike targets of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, marking a significant escalation and expansion of U.S. military operations. Amid the U.S. military's continued reinforcement of its presence in the region, Trump is still considering resuming large-scale combat operations against Iran. Trump previously stated that anytime the Islamic Republic of Iran fires on ships in the Strait of Hormuz, whether through missiles, rockets, drones, or any other equipment or weapons, the U.S. will bomb and destroy a bridge or power plant, including facilities located near or within the capital Tehran.

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