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Polymarket data shows that the outcome of the US election may depend on Pennsylvania
2024-11-03 04:16:33
Odaily News Harris's odds of winning in Michigan and Wisconsin on the prediction market Polymarket exceed Trump's. If Harris wins these two swing states, Pennsylvania will become a decisive factor in determining who wins the US presidential election. On October 31, CNN polling agency SRSS released a poll showing that neither candidate had a clear advantage, after which Harris's odds in two of the six "battleground states" rose sharply. Harris's chances of winning Wisconsin and Michigan rose by 5% and 6%, respectively. In addition, her chances of winning the election have now risen to 45.4%, while Trump's chances of winning have fallen back to 54.6%, a difference of less than 10 percentage points. In addition, a report released by Galaxy Research showed that Trump was in the lead on 18 different platforms, ranging from proprietary models to prediction markets. However, the data shows that most results are close, and he lost his lead on 13 of the 18 platforms evaluated. (CryptoSlate)